2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico

2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Martin Heinrich Nella Domenici
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Martin Heinrich
Democratic



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The 2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Mexico. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich was re-elected with 54.1% of the vote in a three-way race in 2018, and is running for a third term.[1] Primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Martin Heinrich (D) $8,441,938 $4,785,305 $4,311,607
Source: Federal Election Commission[3]

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Martin Heinrich (incumbent) 121,903 100.0%
Total votes 121,903 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Disqualified

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nella Domenici (R) $1,121,111[a] $192,347 $928,764
Source: Federal Election Commission[3]

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nella Domenici 79,525 100.0%
Total votes 79,525 100.0%

General election

Endorsements

Nella Domenici (R)

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[21] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe D November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[23] Safe D June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[24] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[25] Solid D November 21, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Martin
Heinrich (D)
Nella
Domenici (R)
Other /
Undecided
Red Oak Strategic[A] May 7–19, 2024 1,800 (LV) ± 2.3% 41% 38% 21%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Martin Heinrich (incumbent)
Republican Nella Domenici
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ $510,000 of this total was self-funded by Domenici
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Domenici

References

  1. ^ a b Boetel, Ryan (May 4, 2023). "Heinrich announces re-election campaign". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - New Mexico". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  4. ^ a b "New Mexico Secretary of State". electionresults.sos.nm.gov. Retrieved June 12, 2024.
  5. ^ Mutnick, Ally (January 16, 2023). "Daughter of former GOP senator launches Senate run in New Mexico". Politico. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
  6. ^ Cook, Cathy (February 13, 2024). "Former Bernalillo County sheriff disqualified from Senate race". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  7. ^ Ross, Alex (January 21, 2024). "Domenici nets signatures needed for primary ballot". Roswell Daily Record. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  8. ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses New Mexico Senator Martin Heinrich for re-election". 314 Action.
  9. ^ a b "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Martin Heinrich for Reelection". End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 13, 2024.
  10. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  12. ^ "Jewish Dems: President Biden Stands with Israel". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved May 10, 2024.
  13. ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  14. ^ "Martin Heinrich". JStreetPAC. October 16, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  15. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  16. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  17. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  18. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  19. ^ "AFSCME Council 18 Endorsements - New Mexico". AFSCME Council 18. May 20, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
  20. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  21. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  22. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  23. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  24. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  25. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.

External links

Official campaign websites
  • Nella Domenici (R) for Senate
  • Martin Heinrich (D) for Senate
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